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2024-12-14 00:26:07

First of all, under the contraction, large funds remained inactive, and the net outflow of domestic institutions was 28.2 billion. Today, not only is the market shrinking, but mainstream broad-based ETFs are also shrinking and repairing. In particular, even if the CSI 1000ETF was released in late trading, the volume of the whole day can be halved compared with the previous trading day. Yesterday's heavy shipment was falsified today, so today's lure depends on tomorrow's test.In terms of funds, the net outflow of domestic institutions is 28.2 billion, and the blue-chip white horse is not moving. It is estimated that foreign capital should also be the main outflow, and mysterious funds have basically rested. It can be stabilized here, but there is no basis for active attack. Therefore, today's shrinking is weak, or we should be careful of the main plot to lure more people. It is the best choice not to blindly chase after the rise here.As for consumption and robots, the two main lines that have emerged recently, robots are playing with weak-to-strong repairs every day, but these two days have obviously stagnated, and the daily line has seriously deviated; Today's anti-packaging of consumption is still relatively strong, and there are also quantities to cooperate, but there are large-scale deviations in 60, 90 and 120 minutes. It is difficult to digest in the short term, and once the structure is formed, it is estimated that the adjustment will not be far off.


In terms of the performance of individual stocks and sectors, today's shrinkage repair is a bit unhealthy. Although the two main lines of consumption and robots are still leading the gains, both small tickets and low-priced stocks are leading the gains. On the contrary, the trend leaders are a little stuck, and the high-level differences are still quite big. Judging from the weak performance of shrinkage today, it is difficult to continue to rise tomorrow, so beware of the trend of high and low.Emotionally, there are 145 stocks with daily limit, 10 stocks with daily limit and 105 stocks with a drop of more than 5%. The data shows that the number of stocks with daily limit has reached a recent high, but the risk of mid-ticket ebb tide has also intensified, and the high-bid stocks have obviously differentiated. It is time to test the relay funds again tomorrow, so be careful of the new round of ebb tide risk.As for consumption and robots, the two main lines that have emerged recently, robots are playing with weak-to-strong repairs every day, but these two days have obviously stagnated, and the daily line has seriously deviated; Today's anti-packaging of consumption is still relatively strong, and there are also quantities to cooperate, but there are large-scale deviations in 60, 90 and 120 minutes. It is difficult to digest in the short term, and once the structure is formed, it is estimated that the adjustment will not be far off.


Secondly, the low-priced stocks shrink at a new high, which hides hidden dangers, and the double main line has a high probability of differentiation. Recently, the official media issued a series of articles to remind people of the risk of speculating junk stocks. As a result, the index of low-priced stocks has shrunk to a new high in the past two years. It can only be said that the hot money is too cattle. However, as the year is approaching, this wave of low-priced stock indexes has doubled, and the risks are all rising. The risk of junk stocks is even greater. Pay attention to safety!A shares: Today's rise is unhealthy. Tomorrow, Black Thursday or Red Thursday?To sum up, before the short-term market broke through 3494.87 points and reached a new high, it was basically under the suppression of small highs, so don't expect a big rise before that, be careful that the higher the expectation, the greater the disappointment! In response, we should look at the long-term and short-term, continue to test the market, and continue to wait for the situation to become more clear. Tomorrow, the probability of blindly guessing black Thursday is high, so as to prevent the main force from luring more plots!

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